About The Author

Phil Flynn

Phil Flynn is writer of The Energy Report, a daily market commentary discussing oil, the Middle East, American government, economics, and their effects on the world's energies markets, as well as other commodity markets. Contact Mr. Flynn at (888) 264-5665

President Donald J. Trump helped drop the hammer on  metals on Friday, nominating Kevin Warsh to take the helm as Chairman of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, succeeding Jerome Powell when his term wraps in May. If confirmed by the Senate, Warsh could be the steady hand that calms the storm of uncertainty swirling around Fed policy – and folks, that’s music to the ears of anyone betting on oil, gas, or the broader economy but bearish for the buyers of metals who were buying because they believed that President Trump was trying to end Fed Independence.   Of sure metals were wildly overbought and funds trying to book profits at the end of the day the Metals got Warshed out on the Warsh effect.
Why? Let’s break it down, starting with Warsh’s rock-solid credentials. This guy’s no rookie; at just 35, he became the youngest-ever Fed Governor back in 2006 under President George W. Bush, serving through the heart of the 2008 financial crisis until 2011.
He was the Fed’s point man to Wall Street during those chaotic days, helping orchestrate responses that kept the system from total meltdown – think liaising on potential mergers like Citigroup-Goldman Sachs and pushing for macroprudential regs to spot big-picture risks.
Before that, Warsh cut his teeth at Morgan Stanley in mergers and acquisitions from 1995 to 2002, then jumped to the White House as a top economic advisor, handling everything from banking policy to capital markets.  Warsh also is an inflation Hawk as he warned about it even during the downturn and was skeptical of endless QE, arguing it could distort capital allocation. In short, Warsh brings Wall Street smarts, crisis-tested grit, and a no-nonsense view on monetary policy that’s earned him wide acclaim from senators like Tom Cotton and market pros alike.
This pick has dialed back those nagging fears that the Fed might lose its sacred independence under Trump 2.0.   Trump has rightly been hammering Powell for not slashing rates fast enough; WE also saw a  launched probe  against Powel because of massive cost overruns on a Fed Building construction project
Markets were jittery about a potential yes-man at the top, which could’ve politicized rate decisions and sparked chaos in everything from bonds to barrels.
But Wars is no puppet – his track record screams independence, with a hawkish bent that prioritizes inflation control over short-term political wins.
Some describe the pick with “cautious relief,” seeing it as a comforting decision for investors concerned about the central bank’s independence.  The Markets responded by selling off gold and silver sharply—silver had its worst day since 1980 with a drop of 31.4%, and gold fell by double digits—as the “dollar debasement” trade lost momentum, reflecting reduced fears of high inflation or a compromised Federal Reserve. At the same time, the dollar gained strength, sending the DXY above 97, indicating that markets expect a steadier, data-focused Fed led by Warsh.
Geopolitical premiums are easing too, adding to the metal’s pullback.  Reports that president trump is talking with Iran is going to take out some more risk premium.
And then of course the other thing of course is you have the margin call effect after the big swings last week and a lot of position adjustment more than likely after the big sell off we will start to see some stability but it may take another day or two before the market finds its legs at the end of the day the fundamental outlook really hasn’t changed that much sure high prices has brought some more metals in the silver market and platinum and palladium but overall the outlook still looks very tight prices came up too far and too fast and with the market right for profit taking we saw the incredible price crash on Friday expect more volatility in the short term but long term value/
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Thanks,

Phil Flynn

Senior Market Analyst & Author of The Energy Report and Manic Metals Report

Contributor to FOX Business Network

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