Grains Report 07/25/2024

NO COMMENTS THIS FRIDAY OR MONDAY

DJ U.S. Export Sales: Weekly Sales Totals-Jul 25
For the week ended Jul 18, in thousand metric tons, except cotton in
thousand running bales. Net changes in commitments are gross sales,
less cancellations, buy-backs and other downward adjustments. Total
commitments are total export shipments plus total sales.
The marketing year for wheat and barley began Jun 1, cotton and
and rice Aug 1, corn, soybeans and sorghum Sep 1, and soymeal and
soyoil Oct 1. Source: USDA
wk’s net chg total
in commitments commitments undlvd sales
this yr next yr this yr last yr this yr next yr
wheat 309.3 0.0 8027.5 5421.4 5564.2 0.0
hrw 73.0 0.0 2007.2 1083.3 1413.2 0.0
srw 34.1 0.0 1194.2 1464.2 799.9 0.0
hrs 91.0 0.0 2754.2 1773.2 2007.0 0.0
white 111.2 0.0 1934.6 1012.4 1212.8 0.0
durum 0.0 0.0 137.4 88.3 131.4 0.0
corn 331.4 745.2 55042.7 40057.3 7669.9 4872.7
soybeans 88.6 829.7 45313.5 52711.7 3303.8 2903.7
soymeal 258.1 520.9 13589.9 12230.7 2588.6 1489.6
soyoil 6.9 -3.1 208.5 125.8 45.3 27.2
upland cotton -74.2 285.9 12945.3 13958.8 2742.9 2715.6
pima cotton -0.1 4.9 351.9 336.4 36.4 11.7
sorghum 1.5 0.0 5629.8 2657.6 340.5 50.3
barley 0.0 0.0 19.3 16.3 18.0 0.0
rice 13.4 33.5 3546.2 1942.8 335.2 281.4

WHEAT
General Comments: Wheat was higher in Chicago and KC again yesterdays on fund short covering and some new speculative and commercial buying and as there has been some positive demand news amid production problems in Russia and Europe. Minneapolis was lower. The weekly export sales report was good and there were a lot of sales of European and Russian Wheat into North Africa last week. No real demand news has surfaced so far this week. US harvest progress and ideas of good yields and crops went against reports of hot and dry weather in eastern Europe and Russia and too wet weather in France and Germany are still heard and the weather there affecting world production estimates. There were more reports of hot temperatures coming this week to Russian growing areas. It has also been very dry there. Eastern Europe is also hot and dry. Western Europe has seen too much rain.
Overnight News:
Chart Analysis: Trends in Chicago are mixed. Support is at 526, 520, and 514 September, with resistance at 557, 581, and 592 September. Trends in Kansas City are mixed. Support is at 546, 540, and 534 September, with resistance at 590, 601, and 618 September. Trends in Minneapolis are mixed. Support is at 600, 586, and 574 September, and resistance is at 628, 636, and 646 September.

RICE
General Comments: Rice closed higher yesterday after making a new high for the move. Hurricane Beryl has brought beneficial rains to Arkansas and other parts of the Delta but damaged crops in Texas. The US weather has been an issue much of the growing season with too much rain early in the year. Supply tightness is expected to give way to increased production this year and greatly increased supplies this Fall.
Overnight News:
Chart Analysis: Trends are mixed. Support is at 1478, 1452, and 1431 September and resistance is at 1505, 1518, and 1530 September

CORN AND OATS
General Comments: Corn closed a little higher and Oats closed lower yesterday. Selling was based on ideas that futures reflected big yield potential amid good growing conditions seen in the Midwest. Current forecasts call for cooler and drier weather for the Midwest this week but hot weather could return next week. Northern areas such as southern Minnesota that have had way too much rain and flooding is still reported. Some selling came from reduced demand ideas. Corn did not move to new lows last week and it is possible that the current down trend is near its end.
Overnight News:
Chart Analysis: Trends in Corn are down with no objectives. Support is at 388, 385, and 382 September, and resistance is at 414, 426, and 446 September. Trends in Oats are mixed. Support is at 327, 321, and 311 September, and resistance is at 350, 364, and 383 September

SOYBEAN
General Comments: Soybeans and Soybean Oil closed lower yesterday and Soybean Meal was a little higher. Demand news was strong for both Soybeans and Soybean Meal last week with big sales announced on the daily system. The weekly export sales report showed new sales to China and this was positive as well. There was more beneficial precipitation in much of the Midwest over the last week. This week should be dry and temperatures should turn warmer amid dry weather next week. Some selling came from reduced demand ideas. Reports indicate that China remains an active buyer of Soybeans in Brazil. Domestic demand has been strong in the US but has suffered as crushers were crushing for oil.
Overnight News: Unknown destinations bughzt 264,000 tons of US Soybeans.
Chart Analysis: Trends in Soybeans are mixed. Support is at 1096, 1068, and 1056 August, and resistance is at 1130, 1151, and 1170 August. Trends in Soybean Meal are mixed. Support is at 338.00, 331.00, and 329.00 August, and resistance is at 346.00, 351.00, and 355.00 August. Trends in Soybean Oil are up with objectives of 4660 and 4890 August. Support is at 4510, 4440, and 4390 August, with resistance at 3960, 4000, and 6050 August.

CANOLA AND PALM OIL
General Comments: Palm Oil was lower today with ideas of expanding world oilseeds production. Reports indicate that production is rising as well. Export demand has been very strong in recent private reports but has been weaker in recent days. There is talk of increased supplies available to the market, and the trends are down on the daily charts. Canola was higher last week and trends started to turn up on the weekly charts as oilseed supplies look to be ample in the coming year and as demand ideas are down. The weather has called for dry conditions in the Prairies.
Overnight News:
Chart Analysis: Trends in Canola are up with objectives of 702.00 November. Support is at 658.00, 636.00, and 627.00 November, with resistance at 681.00, 686.00, and 696.00 November. Trends in Palm Oil are mixed. Support is at 3820, 3790, and 3770 October, with resistance at 4040, 4100, and 4140 October.

Midwest Weather Forecast Mostly dry early, scattered showers late. Temperatures should average near to below normal.

Corn HRW SRW Soybeans Soybean Meal Soybean Oil
July 61 July 137 Sep
49 Sep
95 Aug

August 76 Sep 137 Sep 49 Sep 95 Nov

Sep 82 Sep 145 Sep 48 Sep 90 Nov

DJ Malaysian PM Cash Market Prices for Palm Oil – July 25
The following are prices for Malaysian palm oil in the cash market at 1000 GMT Thursday, supplied by commodity broker Matthes & Porton Bhd.
Prices are quoted in U.S. dollars a metric ton, except for crude palm oil and palm kernel oil, which are in ringgit a ton. Palm kernel oil prices are in ringgit a pikul, a Malaysian measurement equivalent to 60 kilograms.
Refined, bleached and deodorized palm oil, FOB, Malaysian ports
Offer Change Bid Change Traded
Aug 905.00 00.00 Unquoted – –
Sep 897.50 00.00 Unquoted – –
Oct/Nov/Dec 875.00 00.00 Unquoted – –
Jan/Feb/Mar 882.50 -02.50 Unquoted – –
RBD palm olein, FOB, Malaysian ports
Offer Change Bid Change Traded
Aug 907.50 00.00 Unquoted – –
Sep 900.00 00.00 Unquoted – –
Oct/Nov/Dec 877.50 00.00 Unquoted – –
Jan/Feb/Mar 885.50 -02.50 Unquoted – –
RBD palm stearin, FOB, Malaysian ports
Offer Change Bid Change Traded
Aug 912.50 -02.50 Unquoted – –
Palm Fatty Acid Distillate, FOB Malaysian ports
Offer Change Bid Change Traded
Aug 827.50 -12.50 Unquoted – –
Crude palm oil, Delivered Basis, South Malaysia
Offer Change Bid Change Traded
Aug 4,040.00 00.00 Unquoted – –
Palm kernel oil, Delivered Basis, South Malaysia
Offer Change Bid Change Traded
Aug 353.00 +01.00 Unquoted – –
($1=MYR4.661)

DJ China Dalian Grain Futures Closing Prices, Volume – Jul 25
Soybean No. 1
Turnover: 95,815 lots, or 4.31 billion yuan
Open High Low Close Prev. Settle Ch. Vol Open
Settle Interest
Sep-24 4,536 4,537 4,510 4,525 4,551 4,520 -31 73,895 116,951
Nov-24 4,479 4,481 4,446 4,450 4,489 4,455 -34 3,596 20,461
Jan-25 4,441 4,442 4,416 4,417 4,452 4,424 -28 16,377 50,920
Mar-25 4,417 4,418 4,393 4,395 4,427 4,399 -28 1,597 5,015
May-25 4,459 4,459 4,429 4,431 4,463 4,438 -25 334 3,023
Jul-25 4,395 4,423 4,395 4,418 4,440 4,413 -27 16 108
Corn
Turnover: 918,581 lots, or 21.44 billion yuan
Open High Low Close Prev. Settle Ch. Vol Open
Settle Interest
Sep-24 2,371 2,372 2,337 2,350 2,381 2,353 -28 570,129 706,899
Nov-24 2,327 2,327 2,298 2,317 2,336 2,312 -24 164,953 352,425
Jan-25 2,300 2,300 2,278 2,292 2,311 2,289 -22 128,117 339,519
Mar-25 2,300 2,300 2,281 2,292 2,313 2,289 -24 42,002 82,531
May-25 2,348 2,348 2,325 2,338 2,355 2,334 -21 4,425 12,335
Jul-25 2,358 2,358 2,336 2,351 2,365 2,347 -18 8,955 8,217
Soymeal
Turnover: 1,678,108 lots, or 52.84 billion yuan
Open High Low Close Prev. Settle Ch. Vol Open
Settle Interest
Aug-24 3,126 3,151 3,102 3,116 3,141 3,121 -20 5,232 31,922
Sep-24 3,162 3,179 3,126 3,142 3,166 3,148 -18 1,162,703 1,386,203
Nov-24 3,207 3,224 3,131 3,186 3,214 3,191 -23 61,839 501,704
Dec-24 3,254 3,271 3,228 3,236 3,266 3,248 -18 6,404 47,185
Jan-25 3,235 3,250 3,201 3,212 3,239 3,220 -19 285,115 795,745
Mar-25 3,103 3,118 3,080 3,090 3,107 3,095 -12 9,704 63,680
May-25 2,998 3,016 2,981 2,988 2,998 2,994 -4 131,057 610,504
Jul-25 3,008 3,023 2,976 2,984 3,009 2,997 -12 16,054 19,112
Palm Oil
Turnover: 862,089 lots, or 66.57 billion yuan
Open High Low Close Prev. Settle Ch. Vol Open
Settle Interest
Aug-24 7,808 7,808 7,658 7,704 7,848 7,708 -140 291 1,085
Sep-24 7,770 7,794 7,678 7,744 7,860 7,738 -122 718,390 346,877
Oct-24 7,706 7,728 7,626 7,684 7,794 7,680 -114 1,565 3,514
Nov-24 7,680 7,696 7,608 7,658 7,752 7,658 -94 638 547
Dec-24 7,678 7,696 7,600 7,648 7,712 7,668 -44 319 471
Jan-25 7,660 7,684 7,580 7,640 7,726 7,634 -92 128,838 240,128
Feb-25 7,660 7,660 7,572 7,572 7,698 7,624 -74 42 320
Mar-25 7,658 7,672 7,576 7,634 7,682 7,622 -60 171 3,254
Apr-25 7,648 7,648 7,580 7,580 7,696 7,618 -78 8 223
May-25 7,620 7,638 7,540 7,606 7,676 7,590 -86 11,817 51,699
Jun-25 7,602 7,602 7,524 7,524 7,640 7,562 -78 8 101
Jul-25 7,508 7,512 7,508 7,512 7,544 7,510 -34 2 18
Soybean Oil
Turnover: 535,675 lots, or 41.38 billion yuan
Open High Low Close Prev. Settle Ch. Vol Open
Settle Interest
Aug-24 7,650 7,742 7,650 7,674 7,810 7,694 -116 180 4,887
Sep-24 7,732 7,762 7,662 7,700 7,788 7,710 -78 399,298 504,179
Nov-24 7,734 7,774 7,680 7,712 7,788 7,722 -66 2,401 22,915
Dec-24 7,814 7,844 7,758 7,778 7,862 7,816 -46 137 1,581
Jan-25 7,792 7,832 7,738 7,770 7,848 7,782 -66 118,650 310,531
Mar-25 7,692 7,736 7,650 7,680 7,752 7,696 -56 305 3,450
May-25 7,598 7,646 7,550 7,576 7,656 7,598 -58 14,667 88,512
Jul-25 7,602 7,620 7,548 7,578 7,628 7,564 -64 37 59
Notes:
1) Unit is Chinese yuan a metric ton;
2) Ch. is day’s settlement minus previous settlement;
3) Volume and open interest are in lots;
4) One lot is equivalent to 10 metric tons.

Questions? Ask Jack Scoville today at 312-264-4322