Grains Report 08/14/2025

DJ U.S. Export Sales: Weekly Sales Totals-Aug 14
For the week ended Aug 7, in thousand metric tons, except cotton in
thousand running bales. Net changes in commitments are gross sales,
less cancellations, buy-backs and other downward adjustments. Total
commitments are total export shipments plus total sales.
The marketing year for wheat and barley began Jun 1, cotton and
and rice Aug 1, corn, soybeans and sorghum Sep 1, and soymeal and
soyoil Oct 1. Source: USDA
wk’s net chg total
in commitments commitments undlvd sales
this yr next yr this yr last yr this yr next yr
wheat 722.8 0.0 11005.2 8845.9 6769.7 47.4
hrw 343.6 0.0 4415.7 2106.6 2567.2 38.0
srw 59.3 0.0 1638.3 1452.1 945.1 9.4
hrs 38.9 0.0 2776.8 3040.9 1712.4 0.0
white 274.9 0.0 2004.9 2092.1 1474.5 0.0
durum 6.2 0.0 169.5 154.2 70.5 0.0
corn -88.7 2047.8 70532.6 55816.5 6121.8 13825.3
soybeans -377.6 1133.0 51115.0 45853.3 2694.7 4712.4
soymeal 26.3 246.7 15551.7 13849.6 2500.5 2148.2
soyoil 0.7 0.0 1089.1 220.7 35.7 15.9
upland cotton 242.0 1.1 3127.4 4212.6 2984.8 217.1
pima cotton 2.1 0.0 93.1 75.3 81.1 0.0
sorghum 62.5 0.1 1796.1 5851.3 114.4 34.3
barley 0.8 0.0 49.5 20.1 32.9 0.0
rice 9.2 0.0 506.3 646.0 496.7 0.0

DJ CBOT Delivery Intentions: Totals – Aug 14
Source: CME Group
Contract Quantity Next Trade
Commodity Month Delivery Day Assigned Today Date Available
SOYBEAN MEAL August Aug 15, 2025 131 Aug 13, 2025
SOYBEAN OIL August Aug 15, 2025 2 Aug 13, 2025

WHEAT
General Comments: Wheat was mixed, with Chicago SRW a little higher and KC HRW a little lower. USDA increased production estimates for Winter Wheat on Tueeday. Spring Wheat production was lower, but the big mover was the Winter Wheat production estimates. Ideas of good harvest progress and good yields are still around and are forcing the selling. Harvest conditions for Winter Wheat appear to be good in the US and Spring Wheat development is currently good. Rains have been good in the northern Great Plains but Canada has been a little too dry for best yield potential and the northern Plains had hot and dry areas earlier in the year. Canada could still produce an average to above average crop. Russia is still being watched for dry weather that has so far hurt yields and Ukraine is watched for the same reason and because of the war that could destroy some fields. Russian Black Sea prices have been firming as producers are not making sales and are looking for higher prices to offset yield losses. Southern hemisphere crops appear to be good.
Overnight News:
Chart Analysis: Trends in Chicago are mixed to down. Support is at 496, 490 and 484 September, with resistance at 526, 532, and 541 September. Trends in Kansas City are mixed to down. Support is at 503, 498, and 492 September, with resistance at 549, 552, and 559 September. Trends in Minneapolis are not available.

RICE:
General Comments Rice was little changed in consolidation trading after the see-saw day seen on Tuesday. Chart trends are up on the daily charts. USDA estimated All Rice production at 208,464 million cwt, from 222.133 million last year. Long Grain production was estimated at 154.468 million cwt, from 172,029 million last year. The cash market has been slow with low bids from buyers in domestic markets and average or less export demand. New crop harvesting has started in Louisiana with reports of good but not great yields and quality. There is more concern about the crops in Arkansas where it has turned very hot. Milling quality of the old crop Rice remains below industry standards and it takes more Rough Rice to create the grain for sale to stores and exporters. Rice is heading in most growing areas now and harvest has started near the Gulf Coast.
Overnight News:
Chart Analysis: Trends are up. Support is at 1261, 1243, and 1237 September and resistance is at 1298, 1319, and 1333 September.

CORN AND OATS
General Comments: Corn was higher on short covering from the response to the USDA crop production estimates seen on /tuesday. USDA estimated production at 16.74 billion bushels with a yield estimat4e of 188.8 bu/acre. There still appeared to be speculative selling on widespread record crop production predictions based on additional forecasts for improving weather for the Midwest. Temperatures should average near normal this week and it should be mostly dry. However, flooding rains were reported in Wisconsin over the weekend and yields could be hurt in southern and eastern parts of the state. Most of the Midwest has seen adequate or greater precipitation and production ideas are high. Demand for Corn in world markets remains strong. Oats were lower. We made our annual crop tour of central Illinois over the weekend and found good but not great crops. The tour yield average Was about 198 bu/acre, the second lowest yield calculation in the past 10 years. The ears were small and there were spotty pollination problems and quite a bit of tip back. It looks like the hot summer nights have hurt yield potential and that crop yields of 188 nationally are probably way too high.
Overnight News: Spain bought 132,000 tons of US Corn. South Korea bought 136,000 tons of US Corn.
Chart Analysis: Trends in Corn are down. Support is at 363, 360, and 357 September, and resistance is at 382, 389, and 396 September. Trends in Oats are mixed to down. Support is at 326, 321, and 315 September, and resistance is at 357, 362, and 370 September.

SOYBEANS
General Comments: Soybeans and the products were higher again yesterday on follow through buying seen in response to the USDA estimates released on Tuesday that showed US Soybeans production at 4.292 billion bushels with a yield of 53.6 bu/acre. Good growing conditions continue in the Midwest with warm and mostly dry weather in the forecast. Wisconsin got flooding rais over the weekend but just a few light showers were reported in northern Illinois. Prices are now reported to be higher in Brazil, but China and other buyers are still buying there for political reasons. Export demand remains less for US Soybeans as China has been taking almost all the export from South America. Trade estimates for the USDA crop reports next week are often at 55 bu/acre or a little higher, but analysts polled by the newswires estimated yields closer to 53 bu/acre.
Overnight News:
Analysis: Trends in Soybeans are mixed to up. Support is at 1004, 995, and 983 September, and resistance is at 1027, 1037, and 1050 September. Trends in Soybean Meal are mixed to up. Support is at 277.00, 271.00, and 267.00 September, and resistance is at 287.00, 291.00, and 294.00 September. Trends in Soybean Oil are mixed. Support is at 5160, 5030, and 4940 September, with resistance at 5390, 5490, and 5590 September.

PALM OIL AND CANOLA
General Comments: Palm Oil futures were lower on ideas of weakening demand. Demand for export has been strong zto starat the month. Futures were also higher today as the increase in ending stocks was not as much as anticipated. There was talk that India will soon be buying a lot with festivals coming soon. Ideas that current increased production levels mean higher inventories in MPOB monthly data are still around. Canola was higher along with Chicago and for the same reasons. Trends are mixed on the daily charts and on the weekly charts. The weather has generally been dry for crop development in the Prairies with warm and dry weather still around.
Overnight News:
Chart Analysis: Trends in Canola are mixed to down. Support is at 635.00, 623.00, and 602.00 November, with resistance at 669.00, 683.00, and 696.00 November. Trends in Palm Oil are up. Support is at 4130, 4080, and 4020 October, with resistance at 4470, 4530, and 4590 October.

DJ Malaysian PM Cash Market Prices for Palm Oil – Aug 14
The following are prices for Malaysian palm oil in the cash market at 1000 GMT Thursday, supplied by commodity broker Matthes & Porton Bhd.
Prices are quoted in U.S. dollars a metric ton, except for crude palm oil and palm kernel oil, which are in ringgit a ton. Palm kernel oil prices are in ringgit a pikul, a Malaysian measurement equivalent to 60 kilograms.
Refined, bleached and deodorized palm oil, FOB, Malaysian ports
Offer Change Bid Change Traded
Aug 1080.00 -05.00 Unquoted – –
Sep 1082.50 -07.50 Unquoted – –
Oct/Nov/Dec 1085.00 -10.00 Unquoted – –
Jan/Feb/Mar 1092.50 -07.50 Unquoted – –
Apr/May/Jun 1072.50 -07.50 Unquoted – –
RBD palm olein, FOB, Malaysian ports
Offer Change Bid Change Traded
Aug 1085.00 -05.50 Unquoted – –
Sep 1087.50 -07.50 Unquoted – –
Oct/Nov/Dec 1090.00 -10.00 Unquoted – –
Jan/Feb/Mar 1097.50 -07.50 Unquoted – –
Apr/May/Jun 1077.50 -07.50 Unquoted – –
RBD palm stearin, FOB, Malaysian ports
Offer Change Bid Change Traded
Aug 1067.50 +05.00 Unquoted – –
Palm Fatty Acid Distillate, FOB Malaysian ports
Offer Change Bid Change Traded
Aug 982.50 +15.00 Unquoted – –
Crude palm oil, Delivered Basis, South Malaysia
Offer Change Bid Change Traded
Aug 4,370.00 -20.00 Unquoted – –
Palm kernel oil, Delivered Basis, South Malaysia
Offer Change Bid Change Traded
Aug 455.00 +05.00 Unquoted – –
($1=MYR4.2105)

Questions? Ask Jack Scoville today at 312-264-4322