
Jack Scoville
Jack Scoville is an often quoted market analyst in the grain and soft commodities sectors. You will find his commentary throughout the Reuters, Wall Street Journal, Dow Jones, Bloomberg, and Barron's publications. Contact Mr. Scoville at (312) 264-4322
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Grains Report 05/30/2025
DJ U.S. Export Sales: Weekly Sales Totals-May 30
For the week ended May 22, in thousand metric tons, except cotton in
thousand running bales. Net changes in commitments are gross sales,
less cancellations, buy-backs and other downward adjustments. Total
commitments are total export shipments plus total sales.
The marketing year for wheat and barley began Jun 1, cotton and
and rice Aug 1, corn, soybeans and sorghum Sep 1, and soymeal and
soyoil Oct 1. Source: USDA
wk’s net chg total
in commitments commitments undlvd sales
this yr next yr this yr last yr this yr next yr
wheat -128.8 711.4 21336.5 18873.2 966.4 4891.9
hrw -13.2 342.7 5499.8 3603.1 377.3 1828.4
srw 11.3 73.8 3160.4 4350.4 105.2 886.8
hrs -48.4 147.5 6647.1 6459.2 274.0 1313.3
white -78.9 147.3 5677.0 3929.4 184.9 820.4
durum 0.4 0.0 352.2 530.9 25.0 43.0
corn 916.7 31.0 64195.8 50087.4 15993.3 3002.8
soybeans 146.0 32.8 48456.8 43211.0 4099.5 1056.2
soymeal 424.6 178.5 13534.0 12064.7 3667.8 386.2
soyoil 19.5 0.0 1037.4 141.3 88.2 13.4
upland cotton 118.7 13.8 11415.6 12227.3 2417.2 1297.7
pima cotton -1.7 5.5 447.0 323.7 98.9 11.8
sorghum 33.8 0.0 1531.1 5223.0 173.7 0.0
barley 0.0 7.9 34.3 11.8 10.3 32.8
rice 83.8 0.0 2936.2 3195.1 494.0 10.1
WHEAT
General Comments: Wheat markets closed higher on follow through buying but forecasts for improved growing conditions at home and abroad are still around. There are still reports that cold weather had created frosts in Ukraine and Russia and reports of dry weather in some parts of the EU and China, but these are forecast to change in the short term. Winter crops in the Great Plains are reported to be in good condition, but Spring Wheat crops in the northern Great Plains and into Canada have been dry and cold. Some rain was seen in the northern Great Plains last week and wetter and warmer conditions are now forecast. Chart trends are turning down. Overall demand for world Wheat has been weak.
Overnight News:
Chart Analysis: Trends in Chicago are mixed to down Support is at 520, 506 and 500 July, with resistance at 545, 556, and 561 July. Trends in Kansas City are mixed to down. Support is at 514, 500, and 494 July, with resistance at 548, 557, and 563 July. Trends in Minneapolis are mixed. Support is at 596, 590, and 582 July, and resistance is at 617, 621, and 627 July.
RICE:
General Comments: Rice was a little lower and chart trends remain up on the weekly charts. The trends are up on the daily charts. The cash market has been slow with mostly quiet domestic markets and average export demand. Export sales have not been strong, and domestic demand is not strong enough right now to bid prices any higher. Milling quality of the Rice remains below industry standards and it takes more Rough Rice to create the grain for sale to stores and exporters. Rice is planted in most growing areas now. Condition has been rated as good so far by private sources and USDA.
Overnight News:
Chart Analysis: Trends are up. Support is at 1319, 1282, and 1261 July and resistance is at 1350, 1369, and 1402 July.
CORN AND OATS
General Comments: Corn was lower yesterday, with forecasts for improved growing conditions in the Midwest next week the main reason for the selling. Warmer and drier weather is in the forecast for next week after a cold week this week. Demand for Corn in world markets remains strong with sales and shipments of above 1.1 million tons in the latest reporting week. Oats were higher.
Overnight News: Unknown destinations bought 210,560 tons of US Corn.
Chart Analysis: Trends in Corn are mixed. Support is at 443, 437, and 434 July, and resistance is at 456, 465, and 470 July. Trends in Oats are mixed. Support is at 348, 341, and 336 July, and resistance is at 378, 384, and 390 July.
SOYBEANS
General Comments: Soybeans were mixed yesterday on forecasts for good growing conditions in the Midwest next week. Soybean Meal was higher and Soybean Oil was lower as it is now doubtful that the biofuels allocations will be released today or early next week. The market could remain under pressure as Brazil basis levels have been under pressure the last few weeks and prices in world markets for Brazil Soybeans are now less than those from the US. Export demand is in its seasonal doldrums. Export demand remains less for US Soybeans as China has been taking almost all the export from South America. Warmer temperatures and drier conditions are expected next week after a cold and wet week this week.
Overnight News:
Analysis: Trends in Soybeans are mixed. Support is at 1040, 1037, and 1028 July, and resistance is at 1082, 1088, and 1105 July. Trends in Soybean Meal are mixed. Support is at 290.00, 287.00, and 284.00 July, and resistance is at 300.00, 302.00, and 306.00 July. Trends in Soybean Oil are mixed. Support is at 4770, 4730, and 4610 July, with resistance at 5030, 5110, and 5260 July.
PALM OIL AND CANOLA
General Comments: Palm Oil futures were lower yesterday on long liquidation from speculators. Ideas that current increased production levels mean higher inventories in MPOB monthly data are still around. Ideas of increasing production and reduced demand are also heard. The Ringgit was stronger to help limit gains. Chart trends are down. Canola was higher again. Trends are up on the daily charts and on the weekly charts. The weather has generally been good for planting and crop development in the Prairies.
Overnight News:
Chart Analysis: Trends in Canola are mixed to up. Support is at 699.00, 686.00, and 680.00 July, with resistance at 735.00, 738.00, and 744.00 July. Trends in Palm Oil are mixed to up. Support is at 3770, 3710, and 3650 August, with resistance at 3990, 4040, and 4130 August.
Midwest Weather Forecast Mostzly dry. Temperatures should average near to above normal.
DJ Malaysian PM Cash Market Prices for Palm Oil – May 30
The following are prices for Malaysian palm oil in the cash market at 1000 GMT Friday, supplied by commodity broker Matthes & Porton Bhd.
Prices are quoted in U.S. dollars a metric ton, except for crude palm oil and palm kernel oil, which are in ringgit a ton. Palm kernel oil prices are in ringgit a pikul, a Malaysian measurement equivalent to 60 kilograms.
Refined, bleached and deodorized palm oil, FOB, Malaysian ports
Offer Change Bid Change Traded
Jun 972.50 -05.00 Unquoted – –
Jul 972.50 -07.50 Unquoted – –
Aug/Sep 967.50 -07.50 Unquoted – –
Oct/Nov/Dec 970.00 -10.00 Unquoted – –
Jan/Feb/Mar 977.50 -10.00 Unquoted – –
RBD palm olein, FOB, Malaysian ports
Offer Change Bid Change Traded
Jun 977.50 -05.00 Unquoted – –
Jul 977.50 -07.50 Unquoted – –
Aug/Sep 972.50 -07.50 Unquoted – –
Oct/Nov/Dec 975.00 -10.00 Unquoted – –
Jan/Feb/Mar 982.50 -10.00 Unquoted – –
RBD palm stearin, FOB, Malaysian ports
Offer Change Bid Change Traded
Jun 947.50 -07.50 Unquoted – –
Palm Fatty Acid Distillate, FOB Malaysian ports
Offer Change Bid Change Traded
Jun 872.50 -12.50 Unquoted – –
Crude palm oil, Delivered Basis, South Malaysia
Offer Change Bid Change Traded
Jun 3,930.00 -30.00 Unquoted – –
Palm kernel oil, Delivered Basis, South Malaysia
Offer Change Bid Change Traded
Jun 420.00 -04.00 Unquoted – –
($1=MYR4.2545)
DJ China Dalian Grain Futures Closing Prices, Volume – May 30
Questions? Ask Jack Scoville today at 312-264-4322Soybean No. 1
Turnover: 146,279 lots, or 6.01 billion yuan
Open High Low Close Prev. Settle Ch. Vol Open
Settle Interest
Jul-25 4,119 4,134 4,106 4,117 4,111 4,119 8 88,865 133,785
Sep-25 4,122 4,129 4,100 4,109 4,109 4,113 4 44,024 115,737
Nov-25 4,012 4,023 4,004 4,017 4,010 4,013 3 8,727 50,407
Jan-26 4,011 4,021 4,001 4,013 4,007 4,010 3 2,742 11,051
Mar-26 4,012 4,021 4,001 4,013 4,006 4,010 4 1,905 7,599
May-26 4,060 4,066 4,052 4,056 4,053 4,059 6 16 91
Corn
Turnover: 637,444 lots, or 14.90 billion yuan
Open High Low Close Prev. Settle Ch. Vol Open
Settle Interest
Jul-25 2,334 2,346 2,330 2,336 2,328 2,339 11 460,641 1,116,770
Sep-25 2,352 2,364 2,351 2,359 2,350 2,358 8 122,445 523,311
Nov-25 2,285 2,295 2,285 2,291 2,284 2,290 6 29,752 220,747
Jan-26 2,246 2,253 2,245 2,248 2,245 2,250 5 9,648 66,031
Mar-26 2,240 2,245 2,237 2,239 2,238 2,241 3 14,108 33,091
May-26 2,260 2,266 2,259 2,262 2,258 2,262 4 850 2,841
Soymeal
Turnover: 1,883,698 lots, or 55.65 billion yuan
Open High Low Close Prev. Settle Ch. Vol Open
Settle Interest
Jul-25 2,789 2,821 2,783 2,804 2,789 2,805 16 115,761 434,389
Aug-25 2,937 2,970 2,931 2,953 2,939 2,954 15 16,686 195,106
Sep-25 2,952 2,985 2,944 2,968 2,953 2,966 13 1,333,795 2,209,609
Nov-25 2,985 3,022 2,983 3,004 2,992 3,005 13 66,674 416,721
Dec-25 3,018 3,044 3,008 3,028 3,023 3,027 4 8,989 87,554
Jan-26 2,996 3,022 2,988 3,009 3,003 3,006 3 248,237 704,751
Mar-26 2,854 2,875 2,848 2,860 2,857 2,859 2 43,528 160,145
May-26 2,700 2,710 2,700 2,705 2,704 2,704 0 50,028 197,120
Palm Oil
Turnover: 729,898 lots, or 59.10 billion yuan
Open High Low Close Prev. Settle Ch. Vol Open
Settle Interest
Jun-25 8,532 8,580 8,400 8,580 8,398 8,516 118 190 200
Jul-25 8,304 8,318 8,182 8,210 8,278 8,238 -40 7,425 11,466
Aug-25 8,216 8,236 8,106 8,132 8,200 8,182 -18 625 1,096
Sep-25 8,156 8,178 8,026 8,060 8,132 8,096 -36 684,233 385,610
Oct-25 8,120 8,138 7,998 7,998 8,122 8,068 -54 181 1,067
Nov-25 8,116 8,116 7,990 7,994 8,088 8,056 -32 112 884
Dec-25 8,120 8,120 7,980 7,998 8,108 8,054 -54 107 407
Jan-26 8,126 8,134 7,986 8,024 8,116 8,056 -60 36,705 96,925
Feb-26 8,096 8,112 7,984 7,996 8,130 8,054 -76 22 920
Mar-26 8,100 8,100 7,970 7,984 8,082 8,032 -50 79 257
Apr-26 8,052 8,052 7,948 7,948 8,070 7,984 -86 8 75
May-26 8,048 8,048 7,926 7,934 8,034 7,964 -70 211 367
Soybean Oil
Turnover: 431,457 lots, or 33.06 billion yuan
Open High Low Close Prev. Settle Ch. Vol Open
Settle Interest
Jul-25 7,734 7,744 7,672 7,706 7,748 7,700 -48 7,886 34,615
Aug-25 7,700 7,712 7,636 7,654 7,722 7,670 -52 671 8,308
Sep-25 7,694 7,710 7,622 7,638 7,704 7,662 -42 379,525 615,062
Nov-25 7,714 7,730 7,650 7,666 7,730 7,686 -44 519 3,669
Dec-25 7,754 7,754 7,680 7,702 7,744 7,716 -28 45 1,669
Jan-26 7,662 7,686 7,596 7,618 7,678 7,636 -42 41,445 161,823
Mar-26 7,564 7,572 7,518 7,532 7,580 7,544 -36 102 969
May-26 7,460 7,468 7,398 7,422 7,476 7,428 -48 1,264 5,266
Notes:
1) Unit is Chinese yuan a metric ton;
2) Ch. is day’s settlement minus previous settlement;
3) Volume and open interest are in lots;
4) One lot is equivalent to 10 metric tons.