Phil Flynn is writer of The Energy Report, a daily market commentary discussing oil, the Middle East, American government, economics, and their effects on the world's energies markets, as well as other commodity markets. Contact Mr. Flynn at (888) 264-5665
It’s OPEC Plus Russia’s world and they were welcomed to it. The United States has helped make OPEC Plus one of the most powerful and influential economic organizations in the world. By backing away from oil production, canceling pipelines by discouraging oil and gas production, the U.S. has helped put the fate of the global economy in OPEC Plus Russia’s hands. Now the world awaits its fate as they pray that the OPEC plus cartel decides whether to add oil to the undersupplied global market.
The FT reported that Scott Sheffield, chief executive of Texas-based Pioneer Natural Resources, said America’s once-prolific shale producers would keep using their burgeoning cash piles to pay shareholders, not fund new drilling. “Everybody’s going to be disciplined, regardless of whether it’s $75 Brent, $80 Brent, or $100 Brent,” Sheffield said. “All the shareholders that I’ve talked to said that if anybody goes back to growth, they will punish those companies.” “I don’t think the world can rely much on US shale,” he said. “It’s really under Opec’s control.”
It is under Opec’s control because the Biden administration wants it that way. The administration has shown disdain for U.S. energy producers and instead they favor begging OPEC to please produce more oil. The Biden administration demonized the U.S. oil and gas industry. Instead of viewing them as an asset, they view them as the enemy. With their fanatical fixation on becoming a global leader fighting climate change, they are willing to sacrifice our economy and our national security.
Oil prices are strong as reports show that OPEC will thumb its nose at international pressure and stay on its course to add just 400,000 barrels a day. Reuter reports, “OPEC and its allies are likely to stick to an existing deal to lift output by 400,000 barrels per day (bpd) of oil in November, three OPEC+ sources said on Monday, as they weigh the threat of new coronavirus surges against consumer calls for cheaper crude. Ministers from The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries, Russia, and their allies, known as OPEC+, are due to gather online at 1300 GMT. An OPEC+ ministerial panel that monitors market developments, known as JMMC, meets before that. “There are calls for more of a production increase by OPEC+,” one of the sources told Reuters. “We are scared of the fourth wave of the corona, no one wants to make any big moves. “OPEC+ agreed in July to boost output by 400,000 bpd every month until at least April 2022 to phase out 5.8 million bpd of existing production cuts. “The most reasonable is to add 400,000 bpd, no more,” another source said. A third also said this was the most likely outcome but left room for a possible increase according to Reuters.
But the global energy crunch is spreading. China says they will secure energy supply at any price without regards to the climate. Zerohedge reports that, “Household electricity bills will rise by 29.8% for the typical family and gas bills will go up by 14.4%, Italy’s energy regulatory authority Arera confirmed in a press release last week. The new national tariffs came into effect on Friday, the start of the fourth quarter of 2021. The increase comes amid surging energy costs across Europe, and beyond.
Bloomberg Reports that, “As the frontier of Europe’s energy crisis moves north, the Nordic region faces a worsening power crisis with dwindling water reservoirs hampering the generation of hydroelectric power. Nordic power prices were five times higher in September than a year ago. That’s hitting everyone from power-hungry factories and miners, to students struggling with their bills. Inflation is rocketing.
U.S. natural gas market is being saved by warmer than normal temperatures but if the weather changes we should see a big spike in natural gas. Use breaks to put on hedges.
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Call to get the Phil Flynn Daily Trade Levels on all major futures markets for entry, exit and stop points. You can reach me at 888-264-5665 or email me a Pflynnn@pricegroup.com.Questions? Ask Phil Flynn today at 312-264-4364