Dan Flynn is the writer of The Corn & Ethanol Report, a daily market letter covering grains, energies, and various global issues that are the driving force and backbone of the commodity markets. Contact Mr. Flynn at (312) 264-4374
We start off the day with MBA Mortgage Applications (03/Sep) and MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate (03/Sep) at 6:00 A.M., Redbook at 7:55 A.M., IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism (Sep) and JOLTs Job Openings (Jul) at 9:00 A.M., NY Fed Treasury Purchases TIPS 1 to 7.5 yrs. at 9:30 A.M., 10-Year Note Auction at 12:00 P.M., Fed Beige Book at 1:00 P.M., Consumer Credit Change (Jul) and Dairy Product Sales at 2:00 P.M. and API Energy Stocks at 3:30 P.M.
On the Hurricane Front Hurricane Larry will continue to affect the Leeward Islands, portions of the Greater Antilles and Bahamas today. The storm is moving northwest at 9 knots. Disturbance 1 is one we’re going to watch, it has a 50% chance of formation in the next 48 hrs. The system is expected to move northeastward over the northeastern Gulf of Mexico. It is expected to make landfall in the eastern Gulf coast and still too close to New Orleans. We will keep you posted on further developments.
On the Corn Front we steadied out after the U.S. corn crop condition drops. As of Sunday, the U.S. had 95% of the corn crop at dough stage vs. 94% five-year average.. Also, 74% of the nation’s corn is in dent growth stage vs. 69% five-year average. The USDA pegged 21% of the crop mature vs. 195 five-year average. On Monday, the U.S. good to excellent rating dropped 1% marked at 59%. In the overnight electronic session the December corn is currently trading at 514 ¾ which is 4 cents higher. The trading range has been 515 ½ to 510 ¾.
On the Ethanol Front a group of nine democratic lawmakers on Sept. 2, sent a letter to the Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi and Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer urging them to include support for biofuels in the upcoming reconciliation package. Growth Energy applauded efforts to include support for biofuels in this package. As the ethanol industry continues to do battle with government mandates, the futures markets have 0 Open Interest.
On the Crude Oil Front the market has turned around as demand concerns tend to be a two-way street. Disruptions in Libya’s ports which would have not phased the market last year not to mention the disruptions in New Orleans disruptions that is taking it’s toll on trade. There is another Depression that is a current threat to the coast of Texas and Louisiana. In the overnight electronic session the October crude oil is currently trading at 6922 which is 87 points higher. The trading range has been 6945 to 6831.
On the Natural Gas Front this market has turned around as well. We are at the beginning of shoulder season but huge demand follows. This is also a chance for the U.S. to export LNG to the EU a with Russia holding back on supply. Biden was told this a long time ago along with the detriment of closing the Keystone XL Pipeline. It just seems to be he is the Colonel Kink when it comes to domestic and foreign policy. In the overnight electronic session the October natural gas is currently trading at 4.640 which is .072 higher. The trading range hass been 4.672 to 4.585.
Have A Great Trading Day!